Toronto, ON – The latest Forum Research poll shows support for Kathleen Wynne’s ruling Liberal party collapsing, placing the NDP rather than the Tories in the best position to form a majority government in two weeks’ time.
The poll of 906 randomly selected Ontario voters has determined that 47 per cent of decided or leaning respondents now support the NDP compared to 33 per cent for the Progressive Conservative party and just 14 per cent for the Liberals. The results suggest that if an election were held today, the NDP would get a majority government with 79 seats, the Tories would serve as the Official Opposition with 40 seats and the Liberals would fall from official party status with only five seats.
Forum Research has conducted 40 polls on Ontario voter preferences since the last election in 2014 and this is the first time that the NDP have jumped into first place. In fact since the last Forum Research poll on May 9th, NDP support has jumped 14 percentage points. The poll suggests a shift in voter support, the Tories dropping seven percentage points and the Liberals down eight percentage points.
There have been four polls conducted since the Forum Research poll last week and the NDP led in three of them. The most recent released Wednesday by CBC News and poll tracker Éric Grenier shows the NDP with 37.6 per cent, the Progressive Conservatives with 35.8 per cent and the Liberals with 19.3 per cent and the Green Party with 5.3 per cent and others with two per cent. Ontarians go the polls on Thursday June 7, 2018.